Early evening coverage of Brexit seemed to suggest that we might be remaining in Europe. But, by the time that I went to sleep the results were starting to come in and it all looked pretty leavey.
This morning it seems to be a done deal. At 6.30 it looked like this and my guess is that Leaves lead might open up a bit more before we’re done.
I wrote about Brexit the other day. I’m generally a pessimist about politics after years of defeats – but I still found it difficult to believe that we were actually going to throw ourselves over this particular cliff. It seems I was wrong. There will be much more to say about this.
At the moment I just feel
I’ll have more to say over the next few days as I think more about this.
The analysis that has emerged so far seems to say that it was older, poorer, whiter, Englisher and less educated Britain that voted for this. Why they have done that is not entirely clear to me. For some it seems to be a rebellion against a political system that has failed them. For others it is racism and fear of immigration. To me this seems to be poorly thought out and poorly made protest. The EU is far from perfect but it is difficult to view it as the main thing that is wrong with Britain.
So what happens next. I’d appreciate others thoughts. My initial reaction would be that the following things are likely.
- A new Prime Minister
- The collapse of the current Government’s programme as all policy making gets swept aside by Brexit.
- A short term economic slump.
- A long term economic decline.
- A new referendum in Scotland to leave the UK and remain in Europe.
- The loss of loads of EU funding that has to supported social and cultural programmes in Britain.
- A lot of gloomy liberal and cosmopolitan people shaking their heads and wondering whether it all went wrong.
Am I being alarmist? Tell me I am.
It is a dark day folks!